An Economic Analysis of The Impact of Climate Change on the Livestock Sector in Egypt

Document Type : Original Article

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Agricultural Economics Department- Faculty of Agriculture- Al-Azhar University, Cairo- Egypt

Abstract

The agricultural sector in Egypt faces many challenges, with the most pressing being high population growth and climate change which are impacting crop productivity and the livestock conversion rate at the same time. The higher temperatures are particularly constraining the production of ruminants. While there has been a lot of research on the economic impacts of climate change on crop productivity, there is a serious lack of literature regarding the effects of climate change on livestock production in Egypt. To address this gap, this study seeks to analyze the potential economic impacts of climate change on livestock in Egypt and make recommendations to help mitigate the negative effects. To achieve these objectives, the study applies the International Model for Policy Analysis of Agricultural Commodities and Trade. The results showed that climate change will negatively affect the supply of livestock and poultry productions by approximately 1.14% and 2%, respectively. This would lead to an increase in the prices of livestock and poultry production together. Therefore, the study recommends introducing radical modifications to the production and management systems of the livestock production sector, including implementing recommended environmental modification packages. Additionally, developing low-cost solutions is necessary to mitigate the negative effect of climate change.

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